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2024-12-13 19:32:17

Reuters opinion polls show that 94% of economists said that the tariffs of US President-elect Trump will have a negative or some negative impact on the Japanese economy; 51 of 52 economists said that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to at least 0.50% before the end of March; 58% of analysts said that the Bank of Japan will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25% in December, compared with 44% in November; The salary increase in Japan's labor negotiations in the next fiscal year is 4.7%, which is lower than the median forecast of 5.1% in this fiscal year.The space robot won the TGA annual game "Black Myth Wukong", the TGA award ceremony is in progress, and "Astro Bot" won the TGA annual game. Other nominated games include Black Myth: Wukong, Clown Card, Eldon Circle: The Shadow of Huang Jinshu, Final Fantasy 7: Rebirth, Metaphorical Fantasy: Refantazio. Cosmic Robot is a game work developed by Team ASOBI and released by Sony Interactive Entertainment. Players and ASTRO have launched a brand-new super-large adventure trip to explore more than 50 exciting and varied worlds. The release of the game coincides with the 30th anniversary of PlayStation game console, and a lot of tribute elements have been added to the game works, which has also become one of the reasons why the game attracts worldwide attention. (Sina Technology)South Korea's KOSPI index erased all the declines since the martial law storm.


New Beiyang (Thailand) Company opened. According to the news of New Beiyang, on December 12th, the launching ceremony of New Beiyang (Thailand) Company was held in chonburi province, Thailand. This was the first factory established by New Beiyang overseas, which marked another major breakthrough in the company's internationalization strategy and laid a solid foundation for the company's future internationalization development. The park leased by New Beiyang (Thailand) Company covers an area of more than 5,500 square meters in the first phase. At present, the special printing and scanning product line built in the factory has been successfully put into production and is ready to start mass delivery. In the future, the company will continue to expand the production and delivery of some smart equipment products in Thai factories.Turkish regulators blocked access to dozens of cryptocurrency exchanges, and the Turkish Capital Markets Board listed websites that allegedly provided unauthorized cryptoasset services to Turkish customers.Dividend assets are expected to become the main investment line next year, and the investment in dividend plate is heating up! Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) rallied. On December 13th, by midday, the standard & poor's dividend ETF(562060) had dropped by 1.58%, with a turnover of 18,545,900 yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed, and in terms of rising, Sanqi Mutual Entertainment leads the rise; In terms of decline, Yongxing Materials led the decline. In the news, on December 12th, official website of China Securities Regulatory Commission published the latest personal pension investment list, and 85 index funds were included, including 7 bonus index funds. In addition, the recent performance of high dividend assets is strong, and the market's investment enthusiasm for the dividend sector continues to heat up. The industry believes that dividend assets are expected to become the main line of investment next year with the downward trend of interest rates and the improvement of dividend yield. In addition, considering that there are still many uncertainties in the current global environment, the defensive nature of dividend assets may still be a safe haven for capital seeking. Faced with the long-term trend that domestic risk-free interest rates will continue to decline, the scarcity and stability of dividend income are expected to help dividend assets continue to serve as an important direction for long-term funds to seek cost performance.


Yuncheng, Shanxi: The maximum amount of housing provident fund loans for families with two or more children is 1.2 million yuan. On December 12, according to the news of "Yuncheng Municipal People's Government" on WeChat WeChat official account, Yuncheng City, Shanxi Province recently issued "Measures for Yuncheng City to Further Promote the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market". The measures mentioned that for high-level talents, families with two or more children, the maximum amount of housing provident fund loans will increase by 20% on the basis of 1 million yuan; Optimize the "loan recognition" standard for housing provident fund loans; Increase the amount and frequency of rental withdrawal; Expand the scope of housing provident fund purchase; In Salt Lake District and Yuncheng Economic and Technological Development Zone, those who purchase commercial housing (including stock houses) will open a green channel for household registration, and tenants will give priority to school-age children.The REIT of AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics will be put on sale to public investors today. According to the announcement issued by AVIC Fund, on December 13th, the closed infrastructure securities investment fund of AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics (hereinafter referred to as "AVIC E-commerce warehousing and logistics REIT", fund code: 508078) will be put on sale to public investors. The fundraising period will be from December 13th to 19th, and it will be issued for 5 working days.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.

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